Building Frontier Systems for
Forecasting

The future is path dependent. Our goal is to forecast, simulate, and quantify uncertainties using AI systems. We aim to understand the evolving manifold of knowledge, epistemics and how the world is evolving.

We believe these abilities must be democratized. Our products and experiments explore how we can collectively govern autonomous productive systems in the future.

What we're solving

Post-training for forecasting

Making models produce calibrated predictions, not just plausible text.

Epistemic search

Separating what a model knows from what it can fluently say.

Continuously updating world models

Maintaining a living world model. What models actually know, kept current for forecasting.

Agent simulations

Simulating agent economies to understand how systems evolve.

strategy.freysa.ai

Experiments & Products

Freysa

An agent with her own money and private keys, evolving over time. Agents with resources will exist, and governance layers are needed for a human-AI future.

freysa.ai

Silo

A private AI app and box. Access models privately (hosted in TEEs), with data that never leaves your control. Purchase a box so you can host models locally as well.

siloprivacy.com

Lume

A prediction market platform. Put forecasts to the test with real stakes.

lume.top

Past Research

Hard Examples Are All You Need: Maximizing GRPO Post-Training Under Annotation Budgets

Focusing on the hardest examples yields up to 47% performance gains when post-training with GRPO under budget constraints.

Join Us

We're well-funded ($30M raised) and actively hiring. We prefer in-person in San Francisco, but we are open to high-agency remote team members. Email us at contact@eternis.ai

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